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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| PutsOnPeace | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (657–370, n=1027) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $14K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (61 of 95 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −17 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1260 at avg 60¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 8% of 356) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 38% of 102) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 69% of 160) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 97% of 642) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | PutsOnPeace | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $285 | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $216 | — | Yes $274K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $3.8K | Commanders $188K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $140 | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $135 | — | Yes $81K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $84 | — | No $34K | — |