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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Rin2x | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (2103–236, n=2339) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $35K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #806 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (20 of 23 open) | 85% (55 of 65 open) | 61% (11 of 18 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=67 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 2116 at avg 92¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 13% of 30) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 36% of 33) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 50% of 54) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 94% (won 96% of 1999) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Rin2x | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $119 | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18 | Yes $270K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $82K | Commanders $65 | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | Commanders $125 | — |