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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SnakeBallBreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)49% (16551–17317, n=33868)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$552K$10.6M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #148PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus52% (43 of 83 open)73% (72 of 98 open)52% (32 of 62 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3710 at avg 65¢, ROI +46%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 100% of 363)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 781)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 100% of 747)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 100% of 1819)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSnakeBallBreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $40Magic $13KMagic $161—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $41Magic $51KMagic $228—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $15—Over $7.0K—
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $446—No $3.3K—
Exact Score: Athletic Club 3 - 1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $677—Yes $18—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13—No $516—
Will CA Grau win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $157—Yes $22—
Celtics vs. Magic
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $167Magic $24K——
Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
same side · consensus No
No $646—No $2.1K—
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $267—No $2.2K—
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $67—Over $768—
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $25—No $227—
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
Yes $91—Yes $102—
Exact Score: Athletic Club 3 - 2 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
same side · consensus No
Yes $93—Yes $26—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Celtics $40—Celtics $3—
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5—Under $30—
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
same side · consensus SC Braga
FC Famalicão $7—FC Famalicão $21—
Cerro Porteno vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5—Under $4—