← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| StarMaster | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (1068–993, n=2061) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $106K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (84 of 113 open) | 71% (5 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (146 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=242 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 2563 at avg 48¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 11% of 719) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 41% of 494) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 61% of 803) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 89% of 547) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | StarMaster | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.8K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $530 | — | — | No $114K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $740 | — | — | No $25K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $676 | — | — | Yes $280K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $59 | — | — | Yes $16K |