← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UbuntuTrading | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (1751–1908, n=3659) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $117K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (32 of 67 open) | 85% (56 of 66 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=195 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 35% of 3786 at avg 35¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 64% (won 6% of 2407) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 37% of 153) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 68% of 159) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 1067) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UbuntuTrading | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $47 | No $407K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $112 | Yes $270K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $178 | Yes $45K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $144 | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $148 | No $554K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $50 | No $26K | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $52 | Yes $15K | — | — |
| Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | Yes $200 | — | — |