← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UbuntuTrading | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (1768–1977, n=3745) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $117K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (58 of 102 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=198 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 35% of 3814 at avg 35¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 64% (won 6% of 2429) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 37% of 154) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 68% of 161) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 1070) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UbuntuTrading | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $47 | — | No $407K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $116 | — | Yes $270K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $102 | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $146 | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $54 | — | No $32K | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $52 | — | Yes $15K | — |
| Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | Yes $200 | — |