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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (17998–18484, n=36482) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (156 of 232 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Steelers $82 | Browns $255K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $2.2K | Raiders $104K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $105 | Cardinals $35K | — | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $17K | Raiders $17K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $1.6K | Raiders $24K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $339 | Falcons $8.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $12 | Bills $2.1K | — | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Bills $602 | Bills $378K | — | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Browns $249 | Browns $297K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $62 | Raiders $171K | — | — |