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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Warren-Buffett | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (432–218, n=650) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $119K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (25 of 49 open) | 63% (29 of 46 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=36 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 1105 at avg 57¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 8% of 391) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 49% of 69) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 69% of 95) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 97% of 550) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Warren-Buffett | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | No $184K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | — | Yes $73K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.8K | — | No $24K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $4.7K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | Yes $2.2K | — |