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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
aaabbb00gringo00beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)61% (449–282, n=731)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$210K$3.5M$5.8M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #766was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (6 of 12 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +30 pts n=190, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=84, ROI +13%
  • NFL +17 pts n=189, ROI +3%
none with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won74% of 652 at avg 55¢, ROI +5%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 26% of 123)0%3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 59% of 111)0%29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 186)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 93% of 232)0%14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketaaabbb00gringo00beachboy4BreakTheBank
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7K——No $252K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.9K——No $35K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.0K——Yes $37K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K——Yes $16K
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11K——Yes $4.4K
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.4K——Yes $193
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6K——Yes $967
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $400——Yes $1.1K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $128——Yes $164