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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| aenews2 | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (1121–727, n=1848) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4M | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #117 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (20 of 61 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −3 pts, n=49 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 1947 at avg 62¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 9% of 596) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 53% of 112) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 68% of 143) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 1096) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | aenews2 | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $9.8K | — | — | Yes $38K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | — | No $24K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $30K | — | — | Yes $51K |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $513 | — | — | Yes $2.2K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $85 | — | — | No $590 |