← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alwaysOn | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (423–117, n=540) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $29K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (30 of 35 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 63% (87 of 138 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −3 pts, n=17 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 83% of 721 at avg 80¢, ROI +3% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 7% of 72) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 36% of 25) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 65% of 49) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 80% (won 95% of 575) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alwaysOn | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | — | Steelers $51 | Browns $300K |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | — | Steelers $3.4K | Browns $259K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Jets $255 | Raiders $105K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cowboys $23 | Cardinals $32K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $1.3K | Falcons $8.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $611 | Cardinals $2.7K |