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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| austr | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (581–78, n=659) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 66% (868–456, n=1324) | 47% (14023–15521, n=29544) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.1K | $11.1M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #984 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 40% (39 of 97 open) | 73% (16 of 22 open) | 49% (41 of 83 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 468 at avg 79¢, ROI +7% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 44% of 9) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 86% of 28) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 88% of 83) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 98% of 348) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.