← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | hurrican | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (545–663, n=1208) | 74% (1201–425, n=1626) | 66% (870–456, n=1326) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.9M | $11.2M | -$268K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #207 | PM monthly #23 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 69% (75 of 109 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (27 of 38 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Other Sports −2 pts, n=25 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 87% of 1456 at avg 76¢, ROI +10% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 1% (won 31% of 16) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 8% (won 64% of 121) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 18% (won 84% of 259) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 73% (won 92% of 1060) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.