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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| berlinskies | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5962–4128, n=10090) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $49K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #356 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (48 of 80 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 87% (131 of 150 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 2170 at avg 62¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 91% of 136) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 97% of 460) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 98% of 753) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 100% of 821) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | berlinskies | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $16 | — | Yes $274K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $16 | — | No $253K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $23 | — | Yes $33K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $23 | — | No $32K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $20 | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $10 | — | No $114K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | Yes $83K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $8 | No $7.7K | — | — |