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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| betwick | sainttroplay | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (243–206, n=449) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $549K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #524 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (8 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (62 of 115 open) | 69% (11 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=58 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 597 at avg 48¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 39% (won 11% of 235) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 60% of 67) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 71% of 87) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 95% of 208) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | betwick | sainttroplay | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $2.7K | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.3K | Under $2.1K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $434 | Under $65 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9.2K | Under $2.8K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.2K | Under $261 |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $2.5K | Bills $282 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $629 | Cardinals $1.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $93 | Bills $662 |