← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bosshog | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (849–308, n=1157) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $225K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (21 of 34 open) | 73% (77 of 106 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=65 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 1379 at avg 75¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 13% of 185) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 46% of 103) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 63% of 157) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 68% (won 96% of 934) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bosshog | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.4K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | No $40K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $740 | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $176 | No $16K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $725 | No $607 | — | — |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $546 | Yes $28 | — | — |