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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cambridgeisaac | 00gringo00 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (579–405, n=984) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $3.5M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #867 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (54 of 91 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 73% (78 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −5 pts, n=148 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 1369 at avg 65¢, ROI +7% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 6% of 259) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 28% of 109) | 0% | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 72% of 152) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 92% of 849) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cambridgeisaac | 00gringo00 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.7K | — | — | No $35K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | — | — | No $22K |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | — | — | No $11K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $145 | — | — | No $607 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $300 | — | — | Yes $171K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $548 | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22 | — | — | Yes $4.9K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $146 | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $125 | — | — | Yes $2.4K |