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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cambridgeisaac | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (577–405, n=982) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $56K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #867 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (53 of 89 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −5 pts, n=148 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 1369 at avg 65¢, ROI +7% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 6% of 259) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 28% of 109) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 72% of 152) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 92% of 849) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cambridgeisaac | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.9K | — | — | No $34K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.1K | — | — | No $26K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $3.8K | — | Commanders $188K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $298 | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $20 | — | — | Yes $14K |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $135 | — | — | Yes $2.6K |