← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| debased | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (697–810, n=1507) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #982 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (41 of 67 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=403 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 1303 at avg 36¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 60% (won 4% of 778) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 47% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 63% of 59) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 96% of 404) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | debased | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.9K | Yes $274K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.6K | Yes $36K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | No $855 | No $250K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.5K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $750 | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $609 | Yes $14K | — | — |