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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| defillama7 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (32–19, n=51) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $472K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #143 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 72% (73 of 102 open) | 53% (64 of 120 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 34 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 100% of 3) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 93% of 14) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 100% of 10) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | defillama7 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $82K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $36K | No $35K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | Bills $18K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $133 | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $598 | No $590 | — | — |