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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1primmTheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)63% (1101–635, n=1736)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)49% (192–196, n=388)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$4.6M$3.7M-$104K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #109PM monthly #41was PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)71% (67 of 95 open)no open consensus position50% (176 of 351 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%92% of 211 at avg 71¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)9% (won 40% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)12% (won 92% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)14% (won 93% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)64% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1primmTheWindKnowsmyName
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $350K—Yes $448
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $64K—No $16
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $65—No $2.2K
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $228—No $419
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $49—No $205
Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $52—No $1
Will Ohio State Buckeyes Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4—No $43
Will the Denver Broncos make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $14—Yes $18
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6—Yes $7
Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $8