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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daarayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (888–469, n=1357)50% (15072–15093, n=30165)87% (2312–346, n=2658)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$4.2M$3.0M$30K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #148PM monthly #56was PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (34 of 46 open)57% (102 of 180 open)66% (46 of 70 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +42 pts n=901, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%98% of 980 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)2% (won 95% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)32% (won 98% of 318)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)51% (won 98% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)14% (won 98% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daarayvanmechelen
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.2KOver $10
Will Al-Taawoun FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.0KNo $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $169
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Agustin Tirante
——Jan-Lennard Struff $905Thiago Agustin Tirante $2
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Lakers $613Kings $9
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $508No $10
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $196Over $10
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
——Juan Manuel La Serna $36Hernan Casanova $2
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2Under $10
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $8.7KUnder $9
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $786Over $974
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.2KNo $10
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
——Ugo Humbert $901Ugo Humbert $11
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $794Over $109
Villa Maria: Federico Aguilar vs Nicolas Kicker
same side · consensus Nicolas Kicker
——Nicolas Kicker $766Nicolas Kicker $10
Spread: Hapoel Jerusalem (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hapoel Jerusalem
——Hapoel Jerusalem $24Hapoel Jerusalem $307
Villa Maria: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
——Joaquin Aguilar $191Joaquin Aguilar $4
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Gustavo Heide
——Gustavo Heide $11Gustavo Heide $10
Energetik Mingechevir vs. Shahdag Qusar FK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $2Under $6