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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | rainbowlilies | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 42% (2934–4044, n=6978) | 47% (14123–15612, n=29735) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | $3.2M | $157K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #573 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (106 of 155 open) | 41% (112 of 275 open) | 60% (18 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Soccer −1 pts, n=544 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 7% of 5875 at avg 5¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 96% (won 5% of 5667) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 2% (won 36% of 108) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 1% (won 70% of 64) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 1% (won 83% of 36) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.