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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justaluckydude | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5051–3478, n=8529) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (19 of 36 open) | no open consensus position | 38% (5 of 13 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 152) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 833) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 1457) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1025) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justaluckydude | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $5.8K | — | Commanders $32K | Commanders $1.1M |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $315 | — | Eagles $6.3K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $3.1K | — | — | Commanders $188K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $2.3K | — | — | Commanders $44K |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $2.9K | — | Commanders $2.3K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-8.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $37 | — | Commanders $3.4K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2.2K | — | Under $766 | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-9.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $488 | — | Commanders $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $39 | — | Commanders $2.1K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 36.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $892 | — | Under $567 | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $58 | — | Commanders $23 | — |