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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justaluckydude | CORGII | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5050–3471, n=8521) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $4.5M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (22 of 46 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (16 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 152) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 833) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 1457) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1025) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justaluckydude | CORGII | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $815 | — | — | Over $678 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $65 | — | — | Under $476 |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $50 | — | — | Commanders $433 |
| Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6 | — | — | Under $99 |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $12 | — | — | Eagles $27 |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $38 | — | — | Eagles $5.8K |
| Spread: Commanders (-9.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $35 | — | — | Eagles $2.1K |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $48 | — | — | Commanders $1.6K |
| Spread: Commanders (-2.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $80 | — | — | Commanders $1.4K |
| Senators vs. Ducks same side · consensus Senators | Ducks $24 | — | — | Ducks $657 |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $509 | — | — | Commanders $125 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $143 | — | — | Over $259 |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Raptors $18 | — | — | Raptors $4 |