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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justaluckydude | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5051–3478, n=8529) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (21 of 38 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 152) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 833) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 1457) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1025) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justaluckydude | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $655 | — | Commanders $188K | Commanders $1.3K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Commanders $784 | — | Commanders $44K | Eagles $1.3K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.2K | Over $664 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $39 | Commanders $2.1K | — | Eagles $858 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $473 | Over $491 | — | Under $655 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $58 | Commanders $23 | — | Eagles $412 |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $1.5K | — | Eagles $3 |
| Spread: Commanders (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $7 | Eagles $1.2K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $28K | Commanders $1.1M | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-3.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Eagles $343 | — | — | Eagles $2.5K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 36.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $315 | Under $311 | — | — |