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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (861–456, n=1317) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | -$6.6M | $11.0M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #69 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (44 of 67 open) | no open consensus position | 86% (134 of 156 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.