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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1omnibus-076daaripley86alienUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)65% (885–467, n=1352)50% (15020–15050, n=30070)no settled market50% (19547–19609, n=39156)
Consensus PnL$4.2M$3.0M—$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #56—PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus82% (28 of 34 open)61% (104 of 170 open)no open consensus position70% (33 of 47 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNFL −10 pts, n=132———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%—100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 160)8% (won 60% of 899)—7% (won 99% of 2777)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 40% of 253)21% (won 87% of 2444)—20% (won 100% of 8217)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 57% of 310)39% (won 95% of 4418)—22% (won 100% of 8818)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 99% of 3709)—51% (won 100% of 20793)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1omnibus-076daaripley86alienUpTheBlues
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10—No $1.2K
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $148—No $26K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $21K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $65—Yes $6.0K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $42—Yes $4.2K
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $213—No $42
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $38—Yes $3
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Lukas Pokorny
—Lukas Pokorny $5—Lukas Pokorny $4