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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pauleta23BreakTheBankRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)65% (15655–8312, n=23967)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$243K$10.6M$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #843PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus77% (17 of 22 open)73% (72 of 98 open)61% (28 of 46 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won84% of 10552 at avg 61¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 32% of 1299)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 77% of 1979)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 3086)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 97% of 4188)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpauleta23BreakTheBankRN1beachboy4
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $192—Falcons $2.7K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20—No $2.6K—
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $10Chiefs $465K——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $31—No $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18—Over $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $7—Over $382—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $13—Yes $10—