← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| qwen300.fund | joseph00677 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (2539–3997, n=6536) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $239K | $5.6M | $5.8M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (178 of 192 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Weather −3 pts, n=1468 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 2980 at avg 45¢, ROI −1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 2% of 1695) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 46% of 35) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 70% of 27) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 98% of 1223) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.