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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| rabadabadoo | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (14556–9189, n=23745) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 41% (1101–1610, n=2711) |
| Consensus PnL | $14K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $2.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #410 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 91% (148 of 163 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 57% (33 of 58 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 7375 at avg 53¢, ROI +23% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 13% of 308) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 82% of 1661) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 69% (won 89% of 5100) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 97% of 306) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | rabadabadoo | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $274K | — | No $3.3K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $202K | — | No $214 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $85K | — | Yes $348 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $31K | — | Yes $3.5K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $28K | — | No $815 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $22K | — | Yes $897 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.6K | — | Yes $161 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $230 | — | Yes $9 |