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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| rebotsliaf | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 24% (143–464, n=607) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $82K | $3.5M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #845 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (72 of 90 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=192 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 26% of 567 at avg 24¢, ROI +1% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 61% (won 6% of 348) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 50% of 125) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 56% of 62) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 94% of 32) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | rebotsliaf | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.2K | — | — | No $622K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.3K | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $21K | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | — | — | No $34K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $443 | — | — | Yes $14K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | — | — | Yes $270K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $4 | — | — | No $202K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.9K | — | — | Yes $15K |