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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| scottilicious | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 83% (700–141, n=841) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.5M | $3.5M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (33 of 41 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto ±0 pts, n=75 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 1151 at avg 86¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 13% of 78) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 21% of 14) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 54% of 39) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 89% (won 95% of 1020) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | scottilicious | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $284K | — | — | No $202K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $22 | — | — | No $250K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $68K | — | — | No $26K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | — | No $34K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.3K | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | — | Yes $30K |