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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
takeormakeBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)55% (2310–1925, n=4235)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$986K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #25PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus51% (21 of 41 open)73% (72 of 98 open)56% (35 of 62 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 33% of 220)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 84% of 413)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 96% of 918)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 506)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettakeormakeBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $1.0KMagic $51KMagic $228—
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $3.1KChiefs $465K——
Spread: Cowboys (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $205—Cardinals $11K—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $951Yes $193——
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $117—Under $228—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $86—Under $213—
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $59Chiefs $152K——
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $21Magic $76K——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Celtics $48—Celtics $3—