← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tetrase | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 69% (520–236, n=756) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $973K | $4.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #374 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (99 of 121 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (73 of 102 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech ±0 pts, n=15 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 912 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 6% of 201) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 43% of 47) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 54% of 57) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 96% of 607) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tetrase | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $13K | — | — | Yes $77K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $695 | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | — | — | No $22K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $20K | — | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $11 | — | — | Yes $82K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12 | — | — | Yes $51K |