← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| themagicofcinema | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (397–159, n=556) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #635 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 90% (147 of 163 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −6 pts, n=15 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 496 at avg 71¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 5% of 97) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 38% of 29) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 76% of 45) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 98% of 325) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | themagicofcinema | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $9 | — | No $25K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $15K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $68 | — | Yes $10K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $55 | — | Yes $9.3K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6 | — | Yes $5.0K | — |