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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboiBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (3666–4562, n=8228)45% (537–650, n=1187)62% (393–246, n=639)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)
Consensus PnL$435$10.6M$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (20 of 29 open)85% (55 of 65 open)33% (1 of 3 open)67% (12 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 97% of 112)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 257)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 313)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 471)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettopdogbigboiBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Eagles $214Commanders $32K—Commanders $125
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $23Commanders $82K—Commanders $65
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Commanders $49——Eagles $1.9K
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $49——Commanders $675
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $72——Under $476
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $64——No $146
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12——Over $164
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $35——Under $51
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Commanders $59——Eagles $27
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus TheMongolz
TheMongolz $43—TheMongolz $21K—
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus Heroic
B8 $14—B8 $21K—
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $10——Over $678
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $17——Under $603
Spread: Commanders (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $11——Eagles $12
Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
Yes $21——Yes $1