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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboiCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (3528–4316, n=7844)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$435$4.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (55 of 94 open)25% (1 of 4 open)73% (73 of 100 open)63% (20 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 97% of 112)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 257)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 313)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 471)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettopdogbigboiCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $47—Chiefs $465K—
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $264—Chiefs $152K—
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $413——No $3.3K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
Broncos $8—Chiefs $1.2K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $13KMagic $161
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
same side · consensus DENDELE CS
Imperial $16Imperial $7.9K——
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar $4——Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $130——No $2.2K