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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
touristsBreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)74% (358–128, n=486)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$518K$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #962PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus88% (15 of 17 open)73% (72 of 98 open)61% (28 of 46 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTech −3 pts, n=133———
Settled positions, side won75% of 652 at avg 72¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 7% of 105)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 39% of 44)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 63% of 57)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up68% (won 97% of 446)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettouristsBreakTheBankRN1primm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $7.4K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $104KYes $1.1K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $62KYes $37K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $60KNo $35K——
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—