← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| troim | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (291–538, n=829) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) |
| Consensus PnL | $89K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #895 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (29 of 63 open) | 89% (127 of 142 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 571 at avg 41¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 33% of 235) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 77% of 97) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 90% of 135) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 96% of 104) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | troim | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.2K | No $653K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | No $253K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.9K | Yes $33K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | Yes $30K | — | — |