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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
troimRN1CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)35% (290–530, n=820)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)62% (393–246, n=639)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL$91K$13.4M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #895 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus44% (28 of 63 open)45% (5 of 11 open)33% (1 of 3 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won65% of 571 at avg 41¢, ROI +9%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 33% of 234)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 77% of 97)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 90% of 135)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 96% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettroimRN1CORGIIprimm
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $2.1K—Eagles $858
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $2.3K—Eagles $3
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $23—Eagles $412
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $778—Under $1.5K