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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
tttt123BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)68% (550–258, n=808)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$11K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (63 of 87 open)73% (73 of 100 open)52% (56 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −13 pts, n=83——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1753 at avg 65¢, ROI +2%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 12% of 223)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 32% of 206)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 54% of 370)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 87% of 954)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markettttt123BreakTheBankRN1
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.5KNo $184K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $146Yes $28K—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $4.7K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $179Yes $4.6K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $144No $40K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $31No $35K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161