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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tttt123 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (550–258, n=808) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (60 of 85 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −13 pts, n=83 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1753 at avg 65¢, ROI +2% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 12% of 223) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 32% of 206) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 54% of 370) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 87% of 954) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tttt123 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $144 | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $188K | Commanders $3.8K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $29 | — | No $34K | — |