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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| wagwanshawty | CORGII | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (13–3, n=16) | 62% (395–247, n=642) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $77K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #269 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (24 of 30 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 88% (130 of 148 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 14 at avg 83¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 0% of 2) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 79% (won 100% of 11) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | wagwanshawty | CORGII | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $320 | — | No $656K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $28K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.4K | — | Yes $33K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | — | Yes $274K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | — | Yes $172K | — |