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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| xcaiox | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 87% (158–23, n=181) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #765 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (16 of 21 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) | 47% (9 of 19 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −1 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 85% of 137 at avg 74¢, ROI +15% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 30% of 10) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 60% of 10) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 71% of 24) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 68% (won 98% of 93) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | xcaiox | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $1.0M | — | Eagles $3.0K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | — | Eagles $1.3K |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | — | Commanders $2.3K | Eagles $707 |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | — | Commanders $1.5K | Eagles $3 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | — | Commanders $26 | Eagles $347 |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $161K | Commanders $3.6K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $644 | Over $527 |