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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| yen4u | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (837–94, n=931) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $78K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #815 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (38 of 45 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 759 at avg 91¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 27% of 26) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 56% of 16) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 82% of 33) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 90% (won 100% of 684) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | yen4u | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9 | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $57K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $27K | — | Commanders $1.1M |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.5K | — | — | Yes $14K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | — | Yes $68 | — |