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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| -Dominus- | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (337–145, n=482) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $25K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (9 of 10 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) | 45% (5 of 11 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −3 pts, n=11 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 484 at avg 69¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 82) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 46% of 61) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 69% of 59) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 98% of 282) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | -Dominus- | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $950 | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $945 | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $720 | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $710 | No $34K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $1.1M | Commanders $31K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $345 | No $112K | — | — |