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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankcryingbabydicer87RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–666, n=1226)46% (6312–7429, n=13741)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$21K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2was PM monthly #699PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (12 of 22 open)94% (189 of 201 open)66% (150 of 226 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Crypto −2 pts, n=3902—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%51% of 4244 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)41% (won 8% of 1743)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)13% (won 39% of 571)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)8% (won 72% of 360)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)37% (won 96% of 1570)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankcryingbabydicer87RN1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $63K—Yes $20K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $22KNo $42—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.3KNo $111—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.2K—Yes $96
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.2KNo $19—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KNo $18—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $164No $25—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $25No $80—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $55—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $765KNo $30—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $70—