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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | hurrican | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 74% (1200–423, n=1623) | 65% (863–456, n=1319) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.1M | -$272K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #188 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 79% (133 of 168 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (51 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −2 pts, n=25 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 87% of 1446 at avg 76¢, ROI +10% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 1% (won 31% of 16) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 8% (won 65% of 120) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 18% (won 84% of 258) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 73% (won 92% of 1052) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.