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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
01258787xy48487484545122beachboy4BreakTheBank0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Record (consensus markets)89% (91–11, n=102)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (542–652, n=1194)41% (1101–1610, n=2711)
Consensus PnL$297K$5.8M$10.6M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #84was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #410
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)91% (148 of 163 open)57% (33 of 58 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +7 pts n=68, ROI +11%
  • MMA +15 pts n=20, ROI +14%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won89% of 96 at avg 81¢, ROI +10%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—
Entries under 30¢5% (won 20% of 5)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)—
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 38% of 8)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 198)—
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 78% of 9)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)—
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 100% of 74)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market01258787xy48487484545122beachboy4BreakTheBank0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $274KNo $3.3K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $202KNo $214
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $85KYes $348
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $31KYes $3.5K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $28KNo $815
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $22KYes $897
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.6KYes $161
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $65—Yes $1.3K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $230Yes $9